SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Elgin City win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forfar Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
62.66% ( -0.13) | 20.68% ( 0.03) | 16.65% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 53% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.1% ( 0.03) | 42.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.7% ( 0.03) | 65.29% ( -0.03) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% ( -0.03) | 13.09% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.28% ( -0.05) | 39.71% ( 0.05) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.99% ( 0.13) | 39.01% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.26% ( 0.12) | 75.73% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.66% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.68% | 0-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 16.65% |
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