SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Stranraer |
49.56% ( -0.23) | 23.97% ( 0.08) | 26.47% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.5% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% ( -0.23) | 45.19% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% ( -0.22) | 67.53% ( 0.22) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( -0.18) | 18.31% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.6% ( -0.3) | 49.4% ( 0.31) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.17% ( -0) | 30.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.9% ( -0) | 67.1% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Stranraer |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.46% Total : 49.56% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 26.47% |
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