Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Spartans had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Spartans win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stenhousemuir would win this match.
Result | ||
Spartans | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
33.93% ( -0.08) | 26.99% ( 0.03) | 39.08% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.72% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.49% ( -0.13) | 54.51% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.13% ( -0.11) | 75.87% ( 0.11) |
Spartans Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.68% ( -0.12) | 30.32% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.5% ( -0.14) | 66.5% ( 0.14) |
Stenhousemuir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.78% ( -0.03) | 27.22% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.36% ( -0.04) | 62.63% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Spartans | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 33.93% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.07% |
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