SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Spartans |
28.19% ( -0.09) | 25.75% ( 0.08) | 46.06% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.42% ( -0.39) | 51.58% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.63% ( -0.34) | 73.37% ( 0.33) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.14% ( -0.27) | 32.86% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.57% ( -0.3) | 69.43% ( 0.3) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( -0.17) | 22.37% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.13% ( -0.25) | 55.87% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Spartans |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.19% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 11% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.11% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.05% |
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