Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Partick Thistle win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Partick Thistle |
58.37% ( -0.03) | 23.1% ( 0.07) | 18.53% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.84% ( -0.35) | 50.16% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.88% ( -0.31) | 72.12% ( 0.31) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.1% ( -0.13) | 16.9% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.06% ( -0.23) | 46.94% ( 0.23) |
Partick Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.91% ( -0.25) | 41.09% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.37% ( -0.23) | 77.63% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Partick Thistle |
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 58.36% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 18.53% |
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