SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
58.14% ( -0.14) | 25.11% ( 0.06) | 16.74% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 40.47% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.19% ( -0.1) | 59.81% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.91% ( -0.08) | 80.09% ( 0.08) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( -0.09) | 20.61% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.83% ( -0.15) | 53.17% ( 0.15) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.99% ( 0.04) | 49.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.04% ( 0.03) | 83.96% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 15.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.59% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.13% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.43% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.74% |
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