SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 5 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Elgin City | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Hearts | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Motherwell | 5 | 1 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-0 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Aberdeen |
23.99% ( 0.01) | 23.86% ( 0) | 52.14% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.14% ( 0.01) | 46.86% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( 0.01) | 69.11% ( -0.01) |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% ( 0.02) | 33.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.59% ( 0.02) | 70.4% ( -0.02) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( 0) | 17.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.21% ( 0) | 48.79% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Annan Athletic | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 6.58% 2-1 @ 6.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 23.99% | 1-1 @ 11.3% 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.86% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-2 @ 8.94% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 2.2% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 52.14% |
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