SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Aberdeen | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Dundee United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dumbarton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | East Fife | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 10.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 3-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Aberdeen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Dumbarton |
73.01% ( 0.65) | 16.55% ( -0.36) | 10.43% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.43% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.52% ( 0.9) | 38.47% ( -0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.23% ( 0.94) | 60.77% ( -0.94) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.85% ( 0.38) | 9.15% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.97% ( 0.91) | 31.03% ( -0.9) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.41% ( 0.06) | 45.58% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.6% ( 0.05) | 81.4% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.05)6-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.99% Total : 73.01% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.87% Total : 16.55% | 0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.43% |
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