SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Stirling Albion |
31.42% ( -0.1) | 25.7% ( 0.13) | 42.88% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.08% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% ( -0.56) | 49.85% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% ( -0.5) | 71.85% ( 0.51) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( -0.34) | 29.65% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.3% ( -0.42) | 65.7% ( 0.43) |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( -0.25) | 23.13% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.01% ( -0.38) | 56.98% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Stirling Albion |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.42% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.87% |
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