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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
40.38% ( -0.73) | 24.9% ( 0.16) | 34.72% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( -0.61) | 45.46% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( -0.58) | 67.8% ( 0.58) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.56% ( -0.62) | 22.44% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.03% ( -0.93) | 55.97% ( 0.93) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( 0.04) | 25.45% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.72% ( 0.06) | 60.28% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.38% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 34.72% |
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