SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
29.78% ( 0.11) | 24.45% ( 0.03) | 45.77% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.85% ( -0.07) | 45.15% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.5% ( -0.06) | 67.5% ( 0.07) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.6% ( 0.04) | 28.4% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.85% ( 0.05) | 64.15% ( -0.05) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( -0.08) | 19.84% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.07% ( -0.13) | 51.93% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Falkirk |
| 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.78% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.77% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
