SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 15.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 1-2 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
64.28% ( -0.47) | 19.73% ( 0.28) | 15.99% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.79% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.19% ( -0.93) | 39.81% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.83% ( -0.98) | 62.16% ( 0.97) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.29% ( -0.4) | 11.7% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.19% ( -0.87) | 36.81% ( 0.86) |
| Stenhousemuir Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.05% ( -0.34) | 37.95% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.28% ( -0.33) | 74.72% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
| 2-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.94% Total : 64.28% | 1-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.74% | 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.13% Total : 15.99% |
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