SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
39.82% ( -0.2) | 26.39% ( 0.06) | 33.78% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.59% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.88% ( -0.21) | 52.12% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.16% ( -0.18) | 73.84% ( 0.18) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( -0.2) | 25.7% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.39% ( -0.28) | 60.61% ( 0.28) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( -0.01) | 29.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% ( -0.01) | 65.18% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.82% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.78% |
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