SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
51.1% ( -0.2) | 24.83% ( 0) | 24.06% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% ( 0.16) | 50.83% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% ( 0.14) | 72.71% ( -0.14) |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.11% ( -0.02) | 19.89% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.99% ( -0.03) | 52.01% ( 0.03) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.14% ( 0.26) | 35.86% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.36% ( 0.27) | 72.63% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Partick Thistle | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.51% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 51.09% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)Other @ 1% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.06% |
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