Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 84.19%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 4.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.06%) and 0-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.29%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 1-0 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for St Mirren in this match.
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