Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
