SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dumbarton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | East Fife | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Stenhousemuir | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Stirling Albion | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Stranraer | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Stirling Albion win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stirling Albion |
40.96% ( 0.67) | 27.09% ( -0.16) | 31.95% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 49.9% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% ( 0.48) | 55.32% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% ( 0.39) | 76.54% ( -0.39) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( 0.59) | 26.56% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.23% ( 0.77) | 61.77% ( -0.77) |
| Stirling Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( -0.11) | 32.06% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.47% ( -0.12) | 68.53% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dumbarton | Draw | Stirling Albion |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 40.95% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.95% |
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