Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
