Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 77.51%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 8.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
