Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
