Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 67.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-2 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
