SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 74.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 9.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.69%) and 1-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Dumbarton |
74.77% ( 0.02) | 15.54% ( 0.01) | 9.69% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.18% ( -0.15) | 35.82% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.1% ( -0.16) | 57.89% ( 0.16) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.89% ( -0.03) | 8.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.52% ( -0.07) | 28.47% ( 0.07) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.78% ( -0.17) | 45.21% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.89% ( -0.13) | 81.1% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 2-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 74.76% | 1-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.92% Total : 15.54% | 0-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 9.69% |
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