SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 13.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Greenock Morton |
69.37% ( 0.95) | 17.57% ( -0.3) | 13.05% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 54.79% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.96% ( -0.16) | 36.04% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.86% ( -0.18) | 58.14% ( 0.18) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.63% ( 0.18) | 9.37% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.44% ( 0.43) | 31.56% ( -0.43) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.45% ( -1.06) | 39.54% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.77% ( -1) | 76.23% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.49% Total : 69.37% | 1-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 17.57% | 1-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.69% Total : 13.05% |
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