Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 23.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dumbarton | Draw | Stranraer |
53.15% ( 0.02) | 23.2% ( 0) | 23.64% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.67% ( -0.03) | 44.33% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.29% ( -0.03) | 66.7% ( 0.02) |
Dumbarton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.35% ( -0) | 16.65% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.5% ( -0) | 46.49% |
Stranraer Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.32% ( -0.03) | 32.67% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.78% ( -0.04) | 69.22% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Dumbarton | Draw | Stranraer |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.62% 4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.18% Total : 53.15% | 1-1 @ 10.9% 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.19% | 1-2 @ 6.1% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 23.64% |
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