Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.64%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Dundee
28.09% ( 1.92)	28.04% ( 1.09)	43.87% ( -3.02)

Both teams to score 45.47% (

-1.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.9% (

-2.81)

60.1% (

2.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.68% (

-2.19)

80.31% (

2.18)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.5% (

0.06)

37.5% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.72% (

0.06)

74.28% (

-0.07)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76% (

-2.79)

27.24% (

2.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.33% (

-3.78)

62.66% (

3.77)

Score Analysis

Ayr United 28.09%

Dundee 43.86%

Draw 28.03%

Ayr United	Draw	Dundee
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 1.02) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.72% Total : 28.09%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 10.21% ( 1.02) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.03%	0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.45) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.53) 1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.52) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.29) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.28) Other @ 1.84% Total : 43.86%