SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ayr United | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Dundee | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Partick Thistle | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Dundee | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Queen's Park | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.64%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Dundee |
28.09% ( 1.92) | 28.04% ( 1.09) | 43.87% ( -3.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.47% ( -1.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.9% ( -2.81) | 60.1% ( 2.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.68% ( -2.19) | 80.31% ( 2.18) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% ( 0.06) | 37.5% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.72% ( 0.06) | 74.28% ( -0.07) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( -2.79) | 27.24% ( 2.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.33% ( -3.78) | 62.66% ( 3.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Dundee |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 1.02) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.72% Total : 28.09% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 10.21% ( 1.02)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.03% | 0-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.47)1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.45)0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.53)1-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.52)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.25)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.29)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.28)Other @ 1.84% Total : 43.86% |
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