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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 26.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Edinburgh City |
49.05% ( -0.33) | 24.58% ( 0.06) | 26.37% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 54.42% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.1% ( -0.06) | 47.91% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.92% ( -0.06) | 70.08% ( 0.06) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( -0.15) | 19.57% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.5% ( -0.26) | 51.5% ( 0.26) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.67% ( 0.18) | 32.34% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.16% ( 0.2) | 68.84% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.05% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.58% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 26.37% |
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