Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
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