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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
29.59% ( -0.03) | 25.4% ( 0) | 45.01% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% ( -0.03) | 49.38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.57% ( -0.02) | 71.43% ( 0.02) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.32% ( -0.03) | 30.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.07% ( -0.04) | 66.93% ( 0.04) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( 0) | 21.92% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( 0) | 55.19% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Forfar Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.7% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.59% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.34% Total : 45% |
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