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HL
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 26
Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
IC

Hearts
3 - 0
Inverness

Mackay-Steven (6', 31'), McEneff (9')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Carson (19'), Welsh (57')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 15.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
65.39%19.5%15.12%
Both teams to score 53.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.53%40.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.15%62.86%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4%11.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.42%36.59%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52%39.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83%76.18%
Score Analysis
    Hearts 65.38%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 15.12%
    Draw 19.5%
HeartsDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
2-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 9.88%
1-0 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 7.63%
3-1 @ 7.09%
4-0 @ 4.11%
4-1 @ 3.82%
3-2 @ 3.3%
4-2 @ 1.78%
5-0 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 65.38%
1-1 @ 9.17%
2-2 @ 4.59%
0-0 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 19.5%
1-2 @ 4.26%
0-1 @ 4.26%
0-2 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.42%
1-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 15.12%

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