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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 27
Apr 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stark's Park
HL

Raith Rovers
0 - 4
Hearts


Mendy (25'), Tumilty (81')
Davidson (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mackay-Steven (11', 73'), Henderson (57'), Naismith (70')
F (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawHearts
28.22%24.85%46.93%
Both teams to score 55.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.2%47.8%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.01%69.99%
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14%30.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86%67.14%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58%20.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14%52.86%
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 28.22%
    Hearts 46.92%
    Draw 24.85%
Raith RoversDrawHearts
1-0 @ 7.41%
2-1 @ 6.92%
2-0 @ 4.36%
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.15%
3-0 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 28.22%
1-1 @ 11.77%
0-0 @ 6.3%
2-2 @ 5.5%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 9.35%
0-2 @ 7.95%
1-3 @ 4.95%
0-3 @ 4.21%
2-3 @ 2.91%
1-4 @ 1.97%
0-4 @ 1.67%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.92%

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