SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Rangers | 5 | 11 | 13 |
| 3 | Hearts | 5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Aberdeen | 5 | 6 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Hibernian | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | St Johnstone | 5 | -6 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.34%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
46.34% ( 0.25) | 25.54% ( 0.17) | 28.13% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 52.76% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% ( -0.95) | 50.73% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% ( -0.85) | 72.63% ( 0.85) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( -0.29) | 21.89% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.86% ( -0.44) | 55.14% ( 0.43) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% ( -0.81) | 32.46% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% ( -0.92) | 68.98% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.13% |
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