Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 76.04%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 6.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.79%) and 3-0 (11.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Stenhousemuir win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
0.26) 
-0.47) 
