Now on the back of three consecutive defeats across all competitions, Hearts will be going all out to return to winning ways on Sunday, and Neilson's men should have the quality to outclass the Saints and take all three points at Tynecastle Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 16.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	St Johnstone
62.46% ( 0.66)	20.97% ( -0.22)	16.57% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 51.88% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.7% (

0.23)

44.29% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.33% (

0.22)

66.67% (

-0.22)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.4% (

0.27)

13.59% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.28% (

0.54)

40.72% (

-0.54)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.04% (

-0.39)

39.95% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.39% (

-0.36)

76.61% (

0.36)

Score Analysis

Hearts 62.45%

St Johnstone 16.57%

Draw 20.97%

Hearts	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.93% Total : 62.45%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.97%	0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.95% Total : 16.57%