Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.