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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 26
Jan 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Almondvale Stadium
KL

Livingston
2 - 0
Kilmarnock

Kabia (89'), Pittman (90')
Bartley (40'), Devlin (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Power (19'), Haunstrup (69'), McKenzie (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawKilmarnock
49.25%26.42%24.34%
Both teams to score 47.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.38%56.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.41%77.6%
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.95%23.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12%56.89%
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18%38.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.45%75.56%
Score Analysis
    Livingston 49.25%
    Kilmarnock 24.34%
    Draw 26.41%
LivingstonDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 13.13%
2-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 9.12%
3-0 @ 4.71%
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 49.25%
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 8.95%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.47%
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 4.01%
1-3 @ 1.85%
2-3 @ 1.36%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 24.34%

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