SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 74.42%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 10.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 3-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.41%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-2 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
74.42% ( -0.29) | 14.72% ( 0.07) | 10.86% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 58.9% ( 0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.38% ( 0.33) | 27.61% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.73% ( 0.41) | 48.26% ( -0.41) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.7% ( 0.02) | 6.3% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.29% ( 0.06) | 23.71% ( -0.06) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0.62) | 37.14% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.07% ( 0.61) | 73.92% ( -0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)6-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.95% Total : 74.42% | 1-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 14.72% | 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.73% Total : 10.86% |
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