Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 0-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Montrose win it was 2-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
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