SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
44.82% ( -0.08) | 26.53% ( 0.02) | 28.65% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.06% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.6% ( -0.04) | 54.4% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.23% ( -0.04) | 75.77% ( 0.04) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.83% ( -0.06) | 24.17% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.51% ( -0.08) | 58.49% ( 0.08) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% ( 0.02) | 33.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.34% ( 0.03) | 70.66% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.65% |
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