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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 90.72%. A draw had a probability of 6.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 2.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.13%) and 4-0 (11.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.29%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (0.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
90.72% ( 0.22) | 6.92% ( -0.1) | 2.36% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 35.7% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.17% ( -0.34) | 25.83% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54% ( -0.44) | 46% ( 0.45) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.68% ( -0.01) | 3.32% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.38% ( -0.05) | 14.62% ( 0.06) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.92% ( -1.06) | 63.08% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.85% ( -0.5) | 92.15% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
| 3-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 11.73% ( 0.19)5-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.12)1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.12)2-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.08)7-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)7-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)8-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 90.71% | 1-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.25% Total : 6.92% | 0-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 2.36% |
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