SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-2 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hibernian in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
54.91% ( 1.89) | 22.59% ( -0.36) | 22.5% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.17% ( -0.05) | 42.83% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.77% ( -0.05) | 65.23% ( 0.06) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( 0.63) | 15.5% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.6% ( 1.17) | 44.4% ( -1.16) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( -1.36) | 32.85% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( -1.54) | 69.42% ( 1.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | St Mirren |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.67% Total : 54.91% | 1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.58% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.4% Total : 22.5% |
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