SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-0 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Elgin City |
23.61% ( 0.02) | 23.35% ( 0.01) | 53.04% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.6% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( -0.03) | 45% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( -0.02) | 67.35% ( 0.03) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% ( 0.01) | 33.06% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.34% ( 0.01) | 69.65% ( -0.01) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.07% ( -0.02) | 16.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.99% ( -0.04) | 47% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Elgin City |
| 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.43% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0)3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 23.61% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.83% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 53.04% |
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