SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Elgin City |
31.21% ( 3.97) | 24.49% ( -0.03) | 44.3% ( -3.93) |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( 2.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.37% ( 2.39) | 44.63% ( -2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( 2.27) | 67% ( -2.26) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( 4) | 27.2% ( -3.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.39% ( 4.92) | 62.61% ( -4.92) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.7) | 20.26% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.39% ( -1.14) | 52.61% ( 1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.7) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.53)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.61)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.44)3-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.42)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.29)Other @ 3% Total : 31.21% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.44)0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.59)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.48% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 8.8% ( -1.16)0-2 @ 7.02% ( -1.1)1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.68)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.31)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.3% |
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