SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%).
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
44.68% ( -4.39) | 23.17% ( 1.03) | 32.14% ( 3.36) |
| Both teams to score 63.23% ( -1.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.97% ( -3.15) | 38.02% ( 3.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.71% ( -3.44) | 60.28% ( 3.44) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.56% ( -2.81) | 17.44% ( 2.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.1% ( -5.14) | 47.89% ( 5.13) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( 0.46) | 23.41% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.6% ( 0.67) | 57.4% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.66)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.42)3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.51)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.55)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.37)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.4)Other @ 4.03% Total : 44.68% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.59)3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 7.52% ( 0.63) 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.92)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.72)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.37)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 32.14% |
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