Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterhead would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterhead | Draw | Elgin City |
43.82% ( -0.01) | 26.41% ( -0.01) | 29.76% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.03% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.56% ( 0.04) | 53.43% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.03% ( 0.03) | 74.96% ( -0.04) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.77% ( 0.01) | 24.23% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.42% ( 0.02) | 58.57% ( -0.03) |
Elgin City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.35% ( 0.03) | 32.64% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.81% ( 0.03) | 69.19% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Peterhead | Draw | Elgin City |
1-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.82% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.76% |
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