Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
