Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Partick Thistle in this match.