Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 14.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
