Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
