SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 37.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
37.46% ( 0) | 24.52% ( -0) | 38.01% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 59.52% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.6% ( 0.01) | 43.4% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.21% ( 0.01) | 65.79% ( -0.01) |
| Stranraer Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( 0) | 22.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( 0.01) | 56.79% ( -0.01) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.29% | 22.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.62% ( -0) | 56.38% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stranraer | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.68% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.64% 3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.46% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.74% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.17% 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.01% |
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