SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dumbarton win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dumbarton win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Dumbarton |
36.2% ( 0.02) | 25.58% ( 0) | 38.22% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.67% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.67% ( -0.01) | 48.33% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( -0.01) | 70.47% ( 0.01) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.05% ( 0.01) | 25.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.05% ( 0.01) | 60.95% ( -0.01) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( -0.01) | 24.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.58% ( -0.02) | 59.41% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 36.2% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.8% Total : 38.22% |
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